20-50% of the US is going to get it. That is a FACT. The issue is we don't want the infection to happen all at one time because it potentially could over stress our healthcare system. That is why they are closing down large gatherings. Large groups cause the virus to explode exponentially.
If 50 million people get sick all at one time, we are screwed and lots of people will die.
If 50 million people get sick over a 4-6 week period (or longer), we're fine.
If 50% of the US gets sick over the next 12 months, all good.
Re severity of the outbreak, Look at Italy, the hospitals are saturated, some areas they are turning patients away. Elective procedures, canceled. And Italy continues to see rapid growth in cases of the virus. Hospitals in the USA, what happens in cases of emergencies such as stroke, heart attack, life threatening accidents that are at risk of slow response, or worse?
The slow testing of the USA populace has placed citizens at great risk. My state, West Virginia, has only tested 12 people as of March 5th. Surrounded by states that have covid-19 confirmed cases, only tested 12 people, the WV governor states we have no cases ?. And the US task force saying there are enough test kits available, for those that need them. Wonder if the virus know who needs the kits?
My question, why did the USA not only order the World Health Organization kits available 4 weeks prior And make it widely available, free quick testing as in South Korea?