I seriously doubt that anyone buying Germains could ramp up production. It would require a major investment in machinery and equipment, as well as sourcing a larger supply of basic tobaccos. Which, given that these would have to be processed and aged specifically for the blends they produce, would take several years - especially when you consider that leaf tobacco is virtually unsmokeable for at least two or three years after harvesting (more likely four or five), and tobacco companies have adapted their methodologies to specific supplies and materials. As an example, Samuel Gawith boasts enough high quality Latakia to last a decade, but only at current levels of production.
By the way, most Burley and Virginia is grown in Brazil and Africa. Specifically for the cigarette industry, which determines exactly what is produced, to what quality standards, and according to which "taste" profiles.
Turkish is generic, rather than region and type specific. And most of that is destined for the cigarette industry (fields have been converted to Bright Leaf, and they now flue-cure it rather than sun dry, in addition to spraying the finished leaf with sugar for American style filter kings).
Latakia is limited to Cyprus (yeah, yeah, everyone claims they have Syrian..... that's a load of horsepuckey; Syria produces almost nothing, and Cyprus is running out of combustibles for smoke-curing, and out of water because of increased agricultural and urban demand besides).
Perique? One area, and not the most profitable crop in that area.
Quality control is always an issue. Remember Dunhills after BAT gave the blends to Murrays? Stalks, stalks, stalks, crud, and really abysmal leaf. Mostly stalks.
Yes, it CAN all be done more efficiently. Which is why Dunhill STILL hasn't recovered from what BAT did to the blends (farming it out, then off-shoring it in Denmark). And several of the Dunhill blends of yore were just not worthwhile for BAT to even try.
Balkan Sobranie is another prime example. Gallaghers diddled with the recipe so much that it became a mere generic Balkan.
By the time Greg Pease left Drucquers, many of the varietals that had been important components of the blends there were no longer available.
Given that pipe smokers are barely icing on the cake for most tobacconists, and far less than that for the entire tobacco industry, the incentive to keep steady and rely strictly on the supply lines and the markets that still exist outweighs any consideration of expanding and taking risks. If the proprietors of Germains have extra capital, they've probably invested it wisely in many other industries as well as a portfolio of bluechips. And considering the uncertainties of regulatory laws and labelling, there is little point in increasing production quite as yet. If ever.
It's quite likely that taxes and lung-cancer labels will lessen the number of smokers even further. The only expanding market is China, where pipe-smoking is seen as a luxury for the up-and-coming bourgeoisie. And even there, excepting Chinese grown flue-cured compost, all day smoking is becoming rarer. They'll probably follow the route of Hong Kong and ban smoking in all offices, parks, and shopping malls, as well as doubling the taxes to discourage any but the hard-core addicts.
If Germains produced specialty coffees, they'd be in the cat-bird seat. As a manufacturer of a mere niche of something which all governments in the first world are discouraging, they're holding their own in a dying industry.
Again, I stress that tobacconists DO NOT NEED US. Cigar sales pay the rent, we don't. And cigarettes are well over ninety percent of the total market in any case. Cigarettes are way more efficiently produced than any pipe tobacco, and far more profitable with lower investement.
By the way, I'm smoking one of my own blends right now. Everything that I like will eventually become unavailable, so it only makes sense to figure out how it was made.
In addition to stockpiling like crazy; I've got a thirty year supply which is still growing.
Mmmmm, Virginia.....
Regards,
---Atboth