Right - I had not really thought about international availability.
Making the $11 tin cost $25 to get smuggled in ☹
Right - I had not really thought about international availability.
Yeah, in general that's what I'm working towards being prepared for. At best, prices will nearly double for me once they start collecting excise tax. The reality is that there is a ton of great blends out there. My goal is to make sure that I have a lot of a few that I like. Everything else is gravy, though FOMO is a real thing.If online sales aren't banned altogether.
Just what I was going to post. This has already happened in some states. The long-term trend does not look good, even if they do pay the fees what ever they may be.
Focus on five blends and cellar them as deeply as you can. Though I have over 100 different blends, only five of those are cellared beyond 10 pounds each.FOMO is a real thing.
The numbers are WAG’s passed on by the sales channel people, who have to have some story to tell when they are standing around shooting the breeze in shops. This is particularly true in the case of imports. How much has already been spent complying with EU and UK regulations? How much of the work done to comply with those is transferable to paperwork that can be used for the FDA? Sales reps don’t know. I’m a (fully retired) lawyer and am intimately familiar with the Administrative Procedures Act, which (with some distinctive features) governs FDA rulemaking. I don’t know, either.The numbers I’ve seen guessed are all over the place. And yes, if it was 10k per blend, that means the entire HH line will come in at under 1 FTE Year for one well paid employee. Seems reasonable to pay that for access to a big market for popular blends.
But the numbers all seem invented. Who knows what will happen?
Well, shops in the UK can’t ship tobacco internationally. Estervals in Germany will ship to the US, relying (I an told by a friend in Washington state who has been a customer for many years) on an interpretation of the trade treaty between the US and Germany. But Heinrich (also in Germany) won’t ship tobacco to the US. The Danish Pipe Shop won’t ship internationally. Loopholes ultimately get closed. Tobacco is an international pariah.I am sure Macbaren will keep their top sellers in the market. However if they dont, you will still have access to them from other countries.
Focus on five blends and cellar them as deeply as you can. Though I have over 100 different blends, only five of those are cellared beyond 10 pounds each.
Prior to the Laudasi buyout of C&D, you could order directly from them. Back then, any of there available crumble cakes could be bought in one pound bricks for less than $30. Man I miss those days.Also buying some larger containers of C&D and GLP.
Prior to the Laudasi buyout of C&D, you could order directly from them. Back then, any of there available crumble cakes could be bought in one pound bricks for less than $30. Man I miss those days.
Yep, even got Craig to make me a brick of Black Frigate with no latakia in it for me once.I remember that. You could also order any blend pressed or not, as you prefer. Now it's about double that cost, but so is everything. I was buying Dunhill tins for $5. Now Royal Yacht is almost $13.
My goal is to make sure that I have a lot of a few that I like. Everything else is gravy, though FOMO is a real thing.
"But I didn't get this blend, or this one. I only have 2 tins of this!" As long as I have some good stuff to smoke...
The trouble with forecasting the future is that it hasn't happened, and when it does how much of it will accord with your forecast?
Focus on five blends and cellar them as deeply as you can. Though I have over 100 different blends, only five of those are cellared beyond 10 pounds each.
Hard to say. Erinmore I think was steady but both Bruno and Capstan were not available here for a long time. I've stocked up on Erinmore Flake and St. Bruno Flake and would hopefully add some more to them.I wonder if St Bruno, Capstan and Erinomore brands will remain in the U.S market for the years to come
Agree. I would add the recommendation to focus within that on blends that will be gone in a year.
My MINIMUM was 30, 2oz tins of about 6 blends that I absolutely love and that are pretty unique to my palate.
There were a few that didn't make the cut because they were to similar to other blends.
I will still add a few more to the cellar, but if everything were to shut down today I'd be in pretty good shape.
I still have holes to fill, but they are with blends. Are not on the chopping block and I have time.
I thought the number was closer to $2500. Either way its pocket change. Not hard to amortize 10k over a few years.