Not necessarily so, if it landed in Russia there could well be radioactive fallout because according to Putrid he has anti west missiles 'hidden' all over the country
Jay.
1% Chance of Asteroid Impact
- Thread starter Briar Lee
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Jay.
Makes me wonder if the fortune teller a shipmate dragged me to along with himself, knew about this asteroid when she looked over at me waiting there and proclaimed that "If you don't get shot dead before age 25, you're going to die at age 270 all alone." -- Which if true means I've got another 199 years to go. BORING!
The valiant taste of death but once, but the coward dies a thousand deaths….or something like that.Those that calculate such matters have calculated there is a 1% chance a fairly good sized asteroid will impact earth in 2032, and if it does, it will be bad, at least where it hits.
Asteroid triggers global defence plan amid chance of collision with Earth in 2032
Hundred-metre wide asteroid rises to top of impact risk lists after being spotted in December by automated telescopewww.theguardian.com
In the days before supercomputers, did anyone worry about these things?
What exactly were you pissing your money away on before? Organic grapefruit, yoga classes and donations to Habitat for Humanity?
Even worse… I was investing it in the stock market, paying to put my parents in a home, and paying off my house. Those days are behind me thanks to Briar Lee!
What would be really impressive is a near miss, where it screams through the atmosphere and then back out into space. That would be a show.
If you go outside and look at the moon you’ll see where it got hit hard, a long time ago.
The defenders of the planet calculate the threat from asteroids by “lunar distances”.
Lunar distance - Wikipedia
This new threat is 100 meters across, and so small they missed it the last orbit and this time computers detected it.
As they sic their supercomputers on this thing, which is kind of like a cosmic skeet target, the closer “circular error probable” they’ll get on it’s course.
Circular error probable - Wikipedia
This is why we have NASA and a Space Force.
United States Space Force - Wikipedia
If they calculate the asteroid will miss us, before it goes out of range on this orbit, that’s good. They’ll keep out a weathered eye for new threats.
But if that risk starts rising, and it turns the corner out there, they’ll see it again in 2028.
The real show, would be the earth deciding to divert it or destroy it.
If the earth does, they’d best start shooting early and often.
Up until 2010 we kept 50 W-53 thermonuclear warheads as part of the "hedge stockpile" for planetary defense.
The W-53 was designed in 1960 and had a yield of 9 megatons. It was retired in 1986, but in 1988 50 of the weapons were set aside and kept for defense against an extinction class impactor. The W-53s were dismantled in 2010.
The warhead(s) would have been used to nudge an incoming body sufficiently to cause it to miss the Earth. We currently have no such capability.
The W-53 was designed in 1960 and had a yield of 9 megatons. It was retired in 1986, but in 1988 50 of the weapons were set aside and kept for defense against an extinction class impactor. The W-53s were dismantled in 2010.
The warhead(s) would have been used to nudge an incoming body sufficiently to cause it to miss the Earth. We currently have no such capability.
My God!
A Doomsday gap exists between earth, and asteroids!
We could do another Castle Bravo, only this time lots bigger!
Castle Bravo - Wikipedia
Sing one, Webb Pierce!
The odds have increased to 1 in 83, and the defenders have declared a preliminary risk corridor on December 22, 2032.
Astronomers discover 196-foot asteroid with 1-in-83 chance of hitting Earth in 2032
"Impact probability is still very low, and the most likely outcome will be a close approaching rock that misses us."
But in 2028 when it rounds the circle, the gravity from the last orbit could throw it off a little.
Better load up the rockets, boys.
They might need to earn their keep.
I wouldn't worry too much about it.The odds have increased to 1 in 83, and the defenders have declared a preliminary risk corridor on December 22, 2032.
View attachment 368119
Astronomers discover 196-foot asteroid with 1-in-83 chance of hitting Earth in 2032
"Impact probability is still very low, and the most likely outcome will be a close approaching rock that misses us."www.space.com
But in 2028 when it rounds the circle, the gravity from the last orbit could throw it off a little.
Better load up the rockets, boys.
They might need to earn their keep.
Geoffrey Hinton, Nobel prize winner in Physics for his contributions to the development of AI, calculates a 20% chance that AI causes human extinction within the next 30 years.
One way or another, something's gonna getcha.
Our seventh grade teacher Miss Charlotte taught all us little Ozark Americans that nearly two thousand years earlier, Romans drank from aqueducts. Then a thousand years later they drank from mud puddles and wondered how their ancestors got that water up there.
She ended that lesson showing us the wonderful modern water and sewer system in 1970 Rome, and then showed us ours in Humansville. We loaded on a bus, and visited it all. I’ve never taken running water for granted since, following Miss Charlotte in her mini skirt.
Just think of all the advancements in science since 1970.
This iPhone has hundreds of times more computer capability than all the computers used for Apollo 11.
Put my money, on the human race, against the asteroids.
We invent things like artificial intelligence, you know?.
The chance of the asteroid hitting the earth just went to zero.
Mainly because it's not an asteroid at all. It's the Tesla Roadster Elon Musk launched into space.
Mainly because it's not an asteroid at all. It's the Tesla Roadster Elon Musk launched into space.
Well, we have a lack of natural intelligence, so artificial intelligence will have to do. We invent powerful technologies whose effect we cannot begin to fathom.Our seventh grade teacher Miss Charlotte taught all us little Ozark Americans that nearly two thousand years earlier, Romans drank from aqueducts. Then a thousand years later they drank from mud puddles and wondered how their ancestors got that water up there.
She ended that lesson showing us the wonderful modern water and sewer system in 1970 Rome, and then showed us ours in Humansville. We loaded on a bus, and visited it all. I’ve never taken running water for granted since, following Miss Charlotte in her mini skirt.
Just think of all the advancements in science since 1970.
This iPhone has hundreds of times more computer capability than all the computers used for Apollo 11.
Put my money, on the human race, against the asteroids.
We invent things like artificial intelligence, you know?.
What made the the world wide web commercially possible? People humping. Porn. Funded by groups of suicidal dentists. Playing hide the salami. That's where it all starts.
Now we have a marketplace for everything, from toiletries to assassination.
And we have a marketplace of ideas, much of it fabricated rumor that is accepted uncritically, pretty much like a dark age village. Add AI to that marketplace and people won't know what hit them, only that something did.
Going to be "interesting" times.