Will 2012 Flash Drought & Heat Wave Affect Pipe Smokers?
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Yeah, it's pretty darn hot to smoke outside.
Did you read the article and have any thoughts on that, or were you just commenting on the title?
Did you read the article and have any thoughts on that, or were you just commenting on the title?
The drought is a damned shame.
That could have an unfortunate effect on Whiskey production as well Labor day BBQ's.
We here (in the not so sunny South) we have had more than our fair share of rain.
The Serve Pro guys are here drying out the carpets and generally making a mess of things... but, it's alright.
We had 4-1/2" in first 3 hours of the T'storm that formed and stayed on top of us for 5-1/2 hours.
I think the final total was about 6-1/2" in the 5-1/2 hours.
One of our neighbors had 40" of water in his basement, and his dog drowned while he was at work.
So, if you guys know of a good method for shipping these rain storms to the mid-west... I'm listening.
That could have an unfortunate effect on Whiskey production as well Labor day BBQ's.
We here (in the not so sunny South) we have had more than our fair share of rain.
The Serve Pro guys are here drying out the carpets and generally making a mess of things... but, it's alright.
We had 4-1/2" in first 3 hours of the T'storm that formed and stayed on top of us for 5-1/2 hours.
I think the final total was about 6-1/2" in the 5-1/2 hours.
One of our neighbors had 40" of water in his basement, and his dog drowned while he was at work.
So, if you guys know of a good method for shipping these rain storms to the mid-west... I'm listening.
Glad to hear it isn’t immediately effecting the tobacco industry. I wish the best to all the growers both here and overseas. The rain will come. Just not anytime soon. Hurry up with the clean energy allready. We need it now more than ever. And Missouri Meerschaum is thinking ahead with the irrigation! Cool Beans.
Thanks for the informative article Kevin.
A true journalist. :clap:
Thanks for the informative article Kevin.
A true journalist. :clap:
I'm not sure the drought will have the same impact on finished tobacco products as it will on, say, corn - where we'll see significant price increases.
I'm not a tobacco expert, but my understanding is much of the tobacco used by blenders is grown overseas. Of longer term concern, however, is that American tobacco farms are already under significant pressure - political, regulatory, as well as standard agricultural challenges. A bad crop could send some over the cliff, resulting in fewer farmers and less overall tobacco on the market. That could increase prices over the long term (as opposed to a drought induced singularity that sends prices soaring). What we will likely see if that happens is that domestic production is replaced by foreign production. Impact to prices may be minimal, but impact to American rural culture will be significant. But that's the trend these past several decades.
At the end of the day, I fear American tobacco farms have more to fear from DC than they do the weather. Sad.
I'm not a tobacco expert, but my understanding is much of the tobacco used by blenders is grown overseas. Of longer term concern, however, is that American tobacco farms are already under significant pressure - political, regulatory, as well as standard agricultural challenges. A bad crop could send some over the cliff, resulting in fewer farmers and less overall tobacco on the market. That could increase prices over the long term (as opposed to a drought induced singularity that sends prices soaring). What we will likely see if that happens is that domestic production is replaced by foreign production. Impact to prices may be minimal, but impact to American rural culture will be significant. But that's the trend these past several decades.
At the end of the day, I fear American tobacco farms have more to fear from DC than they do the weather. Sad.
Yes I read the article it was very informative. I was really unaware there was a massive drought going on. Here in East Tennessee we have had constant rain for about 2 weeks.
Thanks for sharing Kevin. I have a corn and soybean farm in central Illinois and it’s no stretch to say that those particular crops are fried around most of the country. I believe domestic tobacco production is holding up better than most crops though. If there is enough foreign supply, prices may not be affected too much.
I’m looking at a big green blob on the radar and it looks like it’s almost here. I’m going to fire up a bowl of Shortcut outside and hopefully watch the rain pour down. We really need it here!
I’m looking at a big green blob on the radar and it looks like it’s almost here. I’m going to fire up a bowl of Shortcut outside and hopefully watch the rain pour down. We really need it here!
Good article. It will be interesting to see what effects this years drought has on the next few years of pipe tobacco. It is one thing to have a reserve, but years like this cause reserves to dry up and that could have a negative price effect on tobacco in the future.
A question that I had after reading your article is what effect the drought could have on blends. If reserve tobacco has to be used before it is aged the normal amount of months will this effect the quality?
A question that I had after reading your article is what effect the drought could have on blends. If reserve tobacco has to be used before it is aged the normal amount of months will this effect the quality?
Interesting read... Having spent time in North Carolina during my active duty days I had some tobacco farmer friends. I know
that N.C. tobacco goes mostly towards cigarettes, but I've seen how a little unexpected weather can affect a crop. I liked
the term "Flash Drought", I never heard it before but a great analogy for whats going on around the country and other tobacco
growing countries. We can only hope that if bad in one area, better in another. The tobacco growers are spread out pretty good
and should be able to make up for each other. But this won't work for every product. Just imagine if Saint James Parish had a couple of bad years... We could be without Parique for quit a while in a couple of years.
that N.C. tobacco goes mostly towards cigarettes, but I've seen how a little unexpected weather can affect a crop. I liked
the term "Flash Drought", I never heard it before but a great analogy for whats going on around the country and other tobacco
growing countries. We can only hope that if bad in one area, better in another. The tobacco growers are spread out pretty good
and should be able to make up for each other. But this won't work for every product. Just imagine if Saint James Parish had a couple of bad years... We could be without Parique for quit a while in a couple of years.
Drought will increase food prices in 2013, USDA says
Tobacco doesn't show up on the radar unless it's anti propaganda and taxes, and saving the children.
I'm stocking up.
Tobacco doesn't show up on the radar unless it's anti propaganda and taxes, and saving the children.
I'm stocking up.
Thanks for the article Kevin. I cannot imagine having my business being a slave to weather, the stress must be enormous. I have been stocking up in fear of the tax man, by this time next year I will have enough for the rest of my life.
As an Iowa farmer, I can attest that this is an enormous understatement. We had .9 inches of rain in May, 1.2 inches in June, and .3 so far in July. Days of 100+F and 20-30 mph winds have just about cooked off our row crops, hay, and pasture. Watch for food prices to start rising before the production losses are confirmed at harvest, especially the corn and beef related foodstuffs.
Prices will be at record highs, but no one is going to have anything to sell.
We are still recovering from a massive fire that happened on Sept.1 of last year, so it has been doubly stressful.
I think I'll go smoke a bowl. :
:
Today is one of the few days that I found it too hot and humid to actually crave a smoke. Today I found I smoked only out of nessesity.
mlaug, I have owned my businesses for 22 years and know the pressures. Market conditions, economic downturns, business trends, all of them I have endured. To be at the mercy of mother nature I cannot imagine, I salute you and your fortitude, I don't think my heart could take that kind of stress.
To add more, the tobacco industry is not just the industry to be affected by the drought. The food industry is outrageous to the said drought. According to the United States DOA, the cost of food will start increasing in stores across the country later this year. The price hike will be driven by harvest shortages, due to extreme droughts in the Midwest, Midwest droughts will raise the price of food.
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