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Briar Lee

Lifer
Sep 4, 2021
4,960
14,334
Humansville Missouri
One of my passions is history and World War One was such an utter, horrible, avoidable catastrophe.

If the Archduke’s driver hadn’t made a wrong turn, or if Kaiser Bill (who was far more full of loud mouthed bluster than actual malice) had not given Austria Hungary a blank check, or if Czar Nicolas had not ordered mobilization first or even if Germany had just mobilized against Russia, and not invaded Belgium, all the horrors and waste of the war to end all wars would not have happened in 1914. Maybe some other event would have ignited the world into a war, but not the assassination of an Archduke and his wife, but later and not then.

And perhaps not ever.
 

mikethompson

Comissar of Christmas
Jun 26, 2016
11,735
24,958
Near Toronto, Ontario, Canada
If the Archduke’s driver hadn’t made a wrong turn,
I think there is still debate on whether it was a 'wrong turn' or not.

As for your picture @Akousticplyr thanks for posting it! Usually I see pictures of average soldiers in the trenches with their beat up pipes, not an officer like this.
 

Briar Lee

Lifer
Sep 4, 2021
4,960
14,334
Humansville Missouri
I think there is still debate on whether it was a 'wrong turn' or not.

As for your picture @Akousticplyr thanks for posting it! Usually I see pictures of average soldiers in the trenches with their beat up pipes, not an officer like this.
The dapper officer with his nice pipe and the kitty cat on the shell were posed for purposes of morale (propaganda) in an area where no counter battery fire was likely. The man and the cat are long dust now, but that shell was one of over one and half billion fired on the Western Front and might still be a dangerous piece of unexploded ordinance today.


Without World War One, the Russian Empire surely would not have collapsed in 1917 and Stalin and Lenin might have grown old and died anonymously. Adolf Hitler would have not volunteered. There would have been no Gallipoli to bring down Winston Churchill.

All history as we know it depended not only on a teenager murdering an Archduke and his much insulted and scorned wife at Sarajevo but how the two autocrats who ruled Germany and Russia played their hands. Kaiser Wilhelm should have restrained Austria Hungary and Russia should have demanded Serbia account for their role in regicide.

For the best book I’ve ever read on the avoidably of a general European war in 1914 I recommend Guns of August by Barbara Tuchman.

The Guns of August - Wikipedia - https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Guns_of_August

It’s worth the read just for the story of the flight of the Goeben and Breslau and the most incredible accomplishment of one naval commander and two ships in the history of naval warfare.

If not for Admiral Souchon’s correct decision to steam towards the Dardanelles instead of the safety of the Austrian battle fleet, Czar Nicolas might have died in his bed still ruler of Russia.
 

jguss

Lifer
Jul 7, 2013
2,647
7,168
For the best book I’ve ever read on the avoidably of a general European war in 1914 I recommend Guns of August by Barbara Tuchman.

Tuchman’s Guns of August is indeed a terrific book, as is her Proud Tower. Another truly wonderful book that covers similar ground (it’s actually focused on the naval arms race between England and Germany in the years leading up to 1914) is Robert Massie’s Dreadnaught. I can’t recommend the Massie book highly enough.
 

Briar Lee

Lifer
Sep 4, 2021
4,960
14,334
Humansville Missouri
Tuchman’s Guns of August is indeed a terrific book, as is her Proud Tower. Another truly wonderful book that covers similar ground (it’s actually focused on the naval arms race between England and Germany in the years leading up to 1914) is Robert Massie’s Dreadnaught. I can’t recommend the Massie book highly enough.
In the entire history of naval warfare there is no more gripping saga than when Hipper’s light cruiser Elbing sent two destroyers to investigate a Dutch ship blowing off steam and they ran headlong into Beatty’s screen of cruisers, and HMS Galatea opens fire at 2:48 pm on June 1, 1916.

Hipper recalls his light screening forces and orders the run to the South, and Beatty takes the bait.

What if had been perfect Zeppelin weather?

Sheer could have reversed course and headed home for the Jade knowing the entire Grand Fleet was bearing down on him.

What if Lion had blown up like Indefatigable and Queen Mary?

If there is a heaven and they let me see anything I want to see, I want to be in a Zeppelin high above the Battle of Jutland.

The nations of the world commissioned just over one hundred dreadnaught type battleships and battle cruisers. 37 British and 21 German dreadnaught ships, 58 in total, clashed at Jutland. The British ought to have left their armored cruisers at home but the 6 German pre dreadnaught battleships proved useful, although they slowed Sheer’s speed.

One more what if.

What if Jellicoe had not felt the weight of empire on his shoulders and turned away from the torpedo attack?

Jutland might have ended up a close range brawl like Tsushima or Trafalgar, and the Germans might have got lucky. Torpedoes could have sunk or mission killed a third of Jellicoe’s ships and superior German shells and inferior British armor protection the rest.

If by chance Sheer had annihilated the Grand Fleet, a long chance to be sure, then World War One might have ended in 1916 by a negotiated peace.

Russia might have kept the Czars.

There might have not been a rematch 25 years later.

What if?
 

jaingorenard

Part of the Furniture Now
Apr 11, 2022
735
3,345
Norwich, UK
Tuchman’s Guns of August is indeed a terrific book, as is her Proud Tower. Another truly wonderful book that covers similar ground (it’s actually focused on the naval arms race between England and Germany in the years leading up to 1914) is Robert Massie’s Dreadnaught. I can’t recommend the Massie book highly enough.
A different era, and I don't wish to derail the thread, but have you read her A Distant Mirror? It's astonishing. I've read Proud Tower but not Guns of August, I'll try and pick up a copy.
 

Briar Lee

Lifer
Sep 4, 2021
4,960
14,334
Humansville Missouri
A different era, and I don't wish to derail the thread, but have you read her A Distant Mirror? It's astonishing. I've read Proud Tower but not Guns of August, I'll try and pick up a copy.
I’ve read all three, but Guns of August and The March of Folly are her two most quoted works.


Guns of August is likely the best non fiction book ever written. If it’s not number one it’s on all the top five lists.

I envy you reason it for the first time.
 
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BorealPiper

Starting to Get Obsessed
Mar 9, 2021
111
1,999
I just ordered Guns of August, thanks for the recommendation. I am looking forward to reading it.
My maternal grandfather fought in WWI (and was also a POW), and this is a subject of personal interest for me. Looking back as an adult I can see some aspects of his personality that were likely a result of the trauma he endured.
Another book rec is The First World War: Unseen Glass Plate Photographs of the Western Front by Carl De Keyzer and David Van Reybrouck. It's an expensive book, but it is also extraordinary.
 

Derby

Can't Leave
Dec 29, 2020
458
708
Just started “ Poilu “, The World War I Notebooks of Corporal Louis Barthas , Barrelmaker. It looks to be a good read.🍀
 

Oddball

Starting to Get Obsessed
Dec 29, 2022
272
1,333
TN
I read Guns of August after seeing this thread. It's quite good.


Also, I can think of at least three of my professors who had read the book multiple times based on their lectures....
 
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huntertrw

Lifer
Jul 23, 2014
5,830
7,439
The Lower Forty of Hill Country
In her book Ms. Tuchman's wrote: "One constant among the elements of 1914—as of any era—was the disposition of everyone on all sides not to prepare for the harder alternative, not to act upon what they suspected to be true."

This brings to mind a quote from Vladimir Nabokov: "Complacency is a state of mind that exists only in retrospective: it has to be shattered before being ascertained."
 

georged

Lifer
Mar 7, 2013
6,024
16,337
World War One is merely an historical abstraction to anyone alive today.

Watch someone's face at a massive stadium football game when they are told to look around---truly take in all they can see---and that the number of casualties on the first day of a particular WWI battle was equal to the everyone in the stadium.

And another battle that went on for a while---fought for no reason except stubbornness and pride on both sides---killed a third of a million.

And THAT ^^^^ level of insanity not only did not give people pause, but World War Two was essentially a resumption of WWI after a 20 year break, taken so that a new generation of soldiers could be grown by the combatants.

A resumption that would---knowingly---be fought with still more destructive weapons.

Welcome to Planet Earth.

Pipes and dogs and cats, yes. Humans not so much.
 

condorlover1

Lifer
Dec 22, 2013
8,477
30,021
New York
@georged: An interesting point but for our family still very recent history. The last player in that insane game who was an Uncle of mine only died in the mid 1980s. I grew up listening to stories about WW1 from numerous relatives as if it was only yesterday. In many regards it is more real to me than WW2 that my Father fought in and in which the Germans seem to have had better line in uniforms!
 

anotherbob

Lifer
Mar 30, 2019
16,660
31,230
46
In the semi-rural NorthEastern USA
I think there is still debate on whether it was a 'wrong turn' or not.

As for your picture @Akousticplyr thanks for posting it! Usually I see pictures of average soldiers in the trenches with their beat up pipes, not an officer like this.
I had heard from historians that many parts of the story where later dramatized in fiction and lot of those little details became part of the myth. I think the whole wrong turn thing was one of them. But I can't say what details for certain.